Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.5% vs Gourde 49.7% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 12-1 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 94.7%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 87.9%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 88.3%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Bergeron
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
1
(13 meetings)
12
1
Bergeron
Gourde
Last 10: Bergeron 10-0 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
0
Bergeron
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
0
Bergeron
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
1
Bergeron
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,109)
49.1% (847)
+13.4%
Power Play
62.2% (352)
79.5% (44)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (245)
39.5% (81)
+14.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Bergeron shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Gourde
Home
61.9% (917)
50.1% (491)
Away
60.2% (789)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Bergeron
Gourde
P1
60.8%
54.7%
P2
60.3%
45.0%
P3
63.0%
49.4%
OT
51.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |