Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.2% vs Gourde 49.5% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 67.2%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 53.9%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 55.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Bergeron
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Bergeron
Gourde
Last 8: Bergeron 4-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Bergeron
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (1,102)
49.1% (731)
+14.7%
Power Play
65.3% (288)
54.3% (81)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (210)
48.2% (85)
-0.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Bergeron shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Gourde
Home
62.5% (882)
50.9% (479)
Away
61.3% (718)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Bergeron
Gourde
P1
62.5%
51.2%
P2
62.7%
49.8%
P3
60.6%
47.5%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
61.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |