Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 57.3% vs Gourde 52.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 90.4%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 69.4%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 85.8%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Bergeron
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bergeron
Gourde
Last 7: Bergeron 5-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
0
Bergeron
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Bergeron
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
59.9% (870)
50.0% (132)
+9.9%
Power Play
54.4% (272)
63.6% (22)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (169)
72.2% (18)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bergeron is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Bergeron shoots right. Gourde is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Gourde
Home
57.8% (611)
64.6% (79)
Away
58.0% (700)
45.2% (93)
By Period
Bergeron
Gourde
P1
57.7%
57.7%
P2
57.6%
47.7%
P3
58.7%
58.2%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |