Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Chartier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 51.9% vs Chartier 51.9% (-5.1%)
Offensive zone
Chartier 58.5%
Defensive zone
Brown 70.4%
Neutral zone
Brown 53.0%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Brown
Chartier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (284)
59.3% (27)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
50.0% (6)
-1.0%
On even strength, Chartier has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Brown shoots right. Chartier is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Brown
Chartier
Home
53.5% (144)
54.5% (11)
Away
51.8% (195)
59.1% (22)
By Period
Brown
Chartier
P1
49.0%
56.3%
P2
48.7%
55.6%
P3
58.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
57.6%