Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Chartier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 48.9% vs Chartier 51.5% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Brown 58.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 54.4%
Neutral zone
Chartier 57.6%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Brown
Chartier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (27)
54.2% (225)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
43.3% (67)
+6.7%
On even strength, Chartier has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Brown is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Brown shoots right. Chartier is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Brown
Chartier
Home
37.5% (8)
49.5% (202)
Away
48.0% (25)
57.4% (94)
By Period
Brown
Chartier
P1
54.5%
51.6%
P2
40.0%
49.5%
P3
42.9%
54.6%
Final 5 min
37.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
45.5%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
52.0%