Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Brown wins 60.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 56.8% vs Johansen 52.4% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 73.6%
Defensive zone
Brown 90.5%
Neutral zone
Brown 75.9%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Brown
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Brown
Johansen
Last 6: Brown 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Brown
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
4
0
Brown
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (336)
49.4% (1,010)
+11.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
62.3% (236)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (74)
67.2% (67)
-21.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Brown is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brown shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Brown
Johansen
Home
61.1% (180)
54.7% (655)
Away
56.4% (234)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Brown
Johansen
P1
57.5%
52.2%
P2
58.5%
50.7%
P3
59.2%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
61.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |