Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Brown wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 54.6% vs Johansen 53.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 80.3%
Defensive zone
Brown 84.1%
Neutral zone
Brown 58.4%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Brown
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Brown
Johansen
Last 6: Brown 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Brown
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
4
0
Brown
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (726)
53.1% (11,017)
+3.4%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
56.2% (2,163)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
50.5% (978)
-2.7%
On power play, Brown has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Brown is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Brown shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Brown
Johansen
Home
57.4% (364)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
53.6% (506)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Brown
Johansen
P1
51.4%
53.2%
P2
54.6%
53.9%
P3
58.8%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |