Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 54.6% vs Monahan 51.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 76.4%
Defensive zone
Brown 89.7%
Neutral zone
Brown 64.0%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Brown
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Brown
Monahan
Last 7: Brown 5-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Brown
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
3
0
Brown
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (726)
51.1% (11,356)
+5.4%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.7% (2,580)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
46.0% (766)
+1.8%
On power play, Brown has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Brown shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Brown
Monahan
Home
57.4% (364)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
53.6% (506)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Brown
Monahan
P1
51.4%
50.9%
P2
54.6%
51.7%
P3
58.8%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:31 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |