Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 56.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 78.6%
Defensive zone
Brown 91.0%
Neutral zone
Brown 71.1%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Brown
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Brown
Monahan
Last 5: Brown 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
2
0
Brown
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (336)
51.5% (641)
+9.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
62.8% (129)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (74)
33.3% (9)
+12.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Brown is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Brown shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Brown
Monahan
Home
61.1% (180)
53.9% (362)
Away
56.4% (234)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Brown
Monahan
P1
57.5%
48.0%
P2
58.5%
57.0%
P3
59.2%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:31 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |