Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 51.9% vs Monahan 53.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 77.8%
Defensive zone
Brown 77.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Brown
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Brown
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Brown
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (284)
54.5% (231)
-1.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
58.2% (67)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
52.2% (23)
-3.2%
On power play, Brown has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Brown shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Brown
Monahan
Home
53.5% (144)
53.5% (144)
Away
51.8% (195)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Brown
Monahan
P1
49.0%
52.5%
P2
48.7%
50.9%
P3
58.6%
60.8%
Final 5 min
55.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |