Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 56.8% vs Gourde 49.5% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 75.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 74.3%
Neutral zone
Brown 50.9%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Brown
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Brown
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Brown
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (336)
49.1% (731)
+12.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
54.3% (81)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (74)
48.2% (85)
-2.3%
On even strength, Brown has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Brown is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Brown shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Brown
Gourde
Home
61.1% (180)
50.9% (479)
Away
56.4% (234)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Brown
Gourde
P1
57.5%
51.2%
P2
58.5%
49.8%
P3
59.2%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
61.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |