Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 51.9% vs Gourde 49.7% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 69.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 55.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Brown
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Brown
Gourde
Last 8: Brown 2-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Brown
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Brown
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Brown
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (284)
49.1% (847)
+3.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
79.5% (44)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
39.5% (81)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Brown shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Brown
Gourde
Home
53.5% (144)
50.1% (491)
Away
51.8% (195)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Brown
Gourde
P1
49.0%
54.7%
P2
48.7%
45.0%
P3
58.6%
49.4%
Final 5 min
55.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |