Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 25-25 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 50.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 52.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 52.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Schenn
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
25
(50 meetings)
25
25
Schenn
Stastny
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
8
10
Schenn
Stastny
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
6
5
Schenn
Stastny
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
11
10
Schenn
Stastny
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,794)
54.6% (10,616)
-6.6%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
59.1% (1,994)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.4%
On even strength, Stastny has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,672).
Schenn shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stastny
Home
49.7% (5,025)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Schenn
Stastny
P1
48.7%
56.3%
P2
48.6%
55.4%
P3
48.3%
53.5%
OT
50.9%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
50.0%▼
53.5%
48.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 15:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2020 | OT | 01:36 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2020 | OT | 01:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |