Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.9% vs Stastny 57.3% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 76.2%
Defensive zone
Schenn 76.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 78.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Schenn
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Schenn
Stastny
Last 6: Schenn 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Schenn
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Schenn
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (157)
57.6% (959)
-13.0%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
60.8% (125)
-1.5%
On even strength, Stastny has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Schenn is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Schenn shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stastny
Home
45.8% (96)
55.9% (590)
Away
47.7% (88)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Schenn
Stastny
P1
41.8%
59.6%
P2
50.0%
59.0%
P3
49.1%
55.3%
OT
37.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |