Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.5% vs Stastny 55.4% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 54.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 83.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 84.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Schenn
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Schenn
Stastny
Last 10: Schenn 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
2
Schenn
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (469)
55.4% (1,004)
-8.9%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
59.0% (210)
-3.0%
On even strength, Stastny has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Schenn is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Schenn shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stastny
Home
49.6% (236)
56.5% (717)
Away
44.6% (258)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Schenn
Stastny
P1
48.0%
56.7%
P2
48.1%
57.7%
P3
42.2%
52.1%
OT
81.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2017 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |