Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 54.7%). Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.7% vs Stastny 54.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 65.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 61.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 64.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Dvorak
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Dvorak
Stastny
Last 6: Dvorak 5-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (203)
52.8% (657)
+3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
61.0% (118)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
61.1% (72)
-61.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Dvorak is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Dvorak shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stastny
Home
56.5% (138)
53.0% (464)
Away
53.4% (88)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Dvorak
Stastny
P1
56.5%
47.9%
P2
57.6%
59.6%
P3
52.1%
54.9%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |