Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.8%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 54.6% vs Stastny 54.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 58.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 56.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 56.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Dvorak
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Dvorak
Stastny
Last 10: Dvorak 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Dvorak
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Dvorak
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Dvorak
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (722)
53.6% (859)
+0.4%
Power Play
58.8% (187)
59.9% (202)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
55.1% (78)
+2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Dvorak is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Dvorak shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stastny
Home
58.6% (444)
56.9% (596)
Away
52.1% (505)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Dvorak
Stastny
P1
54.5%
53.9%
P2
53.6%
56.2%
P3
57.1%
54.4%
OT
56.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
59.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | OT | 04:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |