Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 92.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 59.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 75.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Grant
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Grant
Stastny
Last 10: Grant 9-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
8
Grant
Stastny
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
11
0
Grant
Stastny
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
3
1
Grant
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
54.6% (10,616)
-0.9%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
59.1% (1,994)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
52.9% (1,119)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Grant
Stastny
Home
54.3% (1,956)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Grant
Stastny
P1
51.1%
56.3%
P2
51.5%
55.4%
P3
54.3%
53.5%
OT
35.7%
62.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |