Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.4%). Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Stastny 52.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 66.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 70.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Carter
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Carter
Stastny
Last 6: Carter 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Carter
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
51.0% (588)
+1.9%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
60.6% (104)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
51.7% (89)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Stastny is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Carter
Stastny
Home
56.4% (181)
54.0% (400)
Away
49.3% (203)
50.7% (381)
By Period
Carter
Stastny
P1
56.6%
57.8%
P2
54.0%
52.5%
P3
47.2%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
56.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |