Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 83 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 122-110 in 232 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 64.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 55.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 55.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Toews
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
122
-
110
(232 meetings)
122
110
Toews
Stastny
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
51
32
Toews
Stastny
83 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
33
40
Toews
Stastny
73 total
Neutral Zone
Even
38
38
Toews
Stastny
76 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,043)
54.6% (10,616)
+2.6%
Power Play
63.3% (3,246)
59.1% (1,994)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
52.9% (1,119)
+0.7%
On power play, Toews has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,650).
Toews shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Toews
Stastny
Home
59.7% (9,192)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
56.1% (8,938)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Toews
Stastny
P1
58.6%
56.3%
P2
57.8%
55.4%
P3
57.3%
53.5%
OT
58.8%
62.9%
Final 5 min
58.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |