Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Toews wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.0% vs Stastny 55.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 17-3 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 75.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 61.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 76.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Toews
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
3
(20 meetings)
17
3
Toews
Stastny
Last 10: Toews 9-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
0
Toews
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
2
Toews
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
8
1
Toews
Stastny
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (1,200)
56.5% (967)
+1.7%
Power Play
62.8% (250)
58.4% (125)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
50.8% (128)
+2.9%
On power play, Toews has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Toews is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Toews shoots left. Stastny is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Toews
Stastny
Home
59.8% (805)
56.8% (590)
Away
57.3% (768)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Toews
Stastny
P1
60.2%
59.7%
P2
60.7%
54.8%
P3
55.9%
53.8%
OT
44.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | OT | 02:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 7, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2016 | OT | 02:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 08:46 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 15:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |