Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 51.7% vs Stastny 54.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 21-15 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 55.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 78.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 59.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Backlund
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
21
(36 meetings)
15
21
Backlund
Stastny
Last 10: Backlund 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
13
Backlund
Stastny
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
3
Backlund
Stastny
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
5
Backlund
Stastny
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (602)
52.5% (432)
+0.7%
Power Play
56.1% (66)
60.4% (154)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (77)
66.7% (6)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Backlund shoots left. Stastny is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stastny
Home
51.5% (400)
58.3% (307)
Away
52.5% (345)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Backlund
Stastny
P1
50.0%
57.4%
P2
56.4%
51.7%
P3
48.9%
54.5%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |