Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Thomas 49.9% (+6.7%)
Offensive zone
Thomas 57.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 57.1%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.6%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Stastny
Thomas
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
49.0% (910)
+10.2%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
53.5% (142)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
53.3% (75)
-1.6%
On power play, Thomas has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Stastny shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Stastny
Thomas
Home
57.7% (215)
47.3% (514)
Away
55.6% (257)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Stastny
Thomas
P1
57.7%
50.4%
P2
54.2%
47.5%
P3
57.7%
51.4%
OT
60.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
49.9%