Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Stastny
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Stastny
Carpenter
Last 10: Stastny 3-7 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
7
Stastny
Carpenter
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
3
Stastny
Carpenter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
49.6% (2,027)
+5.0%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
41.5% (41)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
43.9% (467)
+9.0%
On power play, Stastny has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Stastny
Carpenter
Home
55.9% (7,073)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Stastny
Carpenter
P1
56.3%
49.6%
P2
55.4%
47.7%
P3
53.5%
48.0%
OT
62.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 22, 2019 | OT | 04:56 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |