Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Carpenter 52.2% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 66.5%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 54.2%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Stastny
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
53.1% (113)
+4.4%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
100.0% (1)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
60.0% (10)
-15.6%
On power play, Carpenter has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Stastny shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Stastny
Carpenter
Home
58.3% (276)
58.5% (65)
Away
56.7% (210)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Stastny
Carpenter
P1
63.7%
65.8%
P2
57.3%
50.0%
P3
50.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
56.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%