Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 83.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 68.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 55.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Stastny
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stastny
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
53.2% (299)
+6.0%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
33.3% (3)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
46.5% (86)
+5.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Stastny shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Stastny
Carpenter
Home
57.7% (215)
54.6% (207)
Away
55.6% (257)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Stastny
Carpenter
P1
57.7%
52.3%
P2
54.2%
51.5%
P3
57.7%
50.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |