Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 62 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Johansen 53.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 82-76 in 158 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 61.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 59.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 60.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Stastny
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
76
-
82
(158 meetings)
76
82
Stastny
Johansen
Last 10: Stastny 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
23
39
Stastny
Johansen
62 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
27
20
Stastny
Johansen
47 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
26
23
Stastny
Johansen
49 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
53.1% (11,017)
+1.5%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
56.2% (2,163)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
50.5% (978)
+2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Stastny
Johansen
Home
55.9% (7,073)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Stastny
Johansen
P1
56.3%
53.2%
P2
55.4%
53.9%
P3
53.5%
52.8%
OT
62.9%
58.2%
Final 5 min
55.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |