Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Johansen 52.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 65.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 58.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 57.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Stastny
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stastny
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Stastny
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
49.4% (1,010)
+9.8%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
62.3% (236)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
67.2% (67)
-15.5%
On power play, Johansen has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Stastny shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Stastny
Johansen
Home
57.7% (215)
54.7% (655)
Away
55.6% (257)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Stastny
Johansen
P1
57.7%
52.2%
P2
54.2%
50.7%
P3
57.7%
54.8%
OT
60.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
57.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |