Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Johansen 58.2% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 51.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 50.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 52.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Stastny
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
59.8% (625)
-2.3%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
58.2% (196)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
51.9% (27)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Stastny shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Stastny
Johansen
Home
58.3% (276)
60.3% (436)
Away
56.7% (210)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Stastny
Johansen
P1
63.7%
61.3%
P2
57.3%
60.4%
P3
50.4%
56.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%