Paul Stastny vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 39.3% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 61.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Stastny 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,136)
37.1% (566)
+17.9%
Power Play
57.5% (200)
54.5% (22)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
40.0% (5)
+13.1%
On even strength, Stastny has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Stastny shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.5% (744)
37.5% (312)
Away
52.1% (680)
37.5% (293)
By Period
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.9%
35.4%
P2
54.9%
37.8%
P3
53.0%
39.9%
OT
72.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
57.1%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
37.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |