Paul Stastny vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 52 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 68-46 in 114 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 87.5%
Defensive zone
Stastny 87.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 87.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
68
-
46
(114 meetings)
68
46
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Stastny 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
16
10
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
20
16
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
32
20
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
52 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
44.9% (8,756)
+9.7%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
50.7% (839)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
37.9% (879)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.9% (7,073)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.3%
45.1%
P2
55.4%
43.9%
P3
53.5%
45.3%
OT
62.9%
43.5%
Final 5 min
55.7%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 26, 2020 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |