Paul Stastny vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 66.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 53.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
43.0% (349)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
31.8% (88)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Stastny shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
57.7% (215)
38.5% (231)
Away
55.6% (257)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.7%
40.2%
P2
54.2%
36.0%
P3
57.7%
45.1%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |