Paul Stastny vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 52.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.4% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 52.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Stastny 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
1
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
3
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
5
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (588)
39.8% (508)
+11.2%
Power Play
60.6% (104)
60.5% (38)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (89)
20.0% (5)
+31.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stastny is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Stastny shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.0% (400)
42.6% (237)
Away
50.7% (381)
39.8% (314)
By Period
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.8%
33.3%
P2
52.5%
45.1%
P3
47.5%
44.6%
OT
41.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |