Paul Stastny vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.6% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 88.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 51.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 73.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Stastny 5-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
1
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (657)
46.5% (690)
+6.3%
Power Play
61.0% (118)
41.7% (12)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (72)
38.4% (138)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Stastny shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Home / Away
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.0% (464)
47.7% (405)
Away
56.7% (383)
42.8% (435)
By Period
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.9%
49.4%
P2
59.6%
43.0%
P3
54.9%
43.7%
OT
55.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
57.7%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |