Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stastny wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.0% vs Bennett 48.2% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 85.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 61.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 74.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Stastny
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stastny
Bennett
Last 5: Stastny 4-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
1
Stastny
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (432)
46.8% (235)
+5.7%
Power Play
60.4% (154)
64.3% (14)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
41.7% (12)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Stastny is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Stastny shoots left. Bennett is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Stastny
Bennett
Home
58.3% (307)
43.4% (122)
Away
50.9% (285)
51.1% (139)
By Period
Stastny
Bennett
P1
57.4%
56.5%
P2
51.7%
42.6%
P3
54.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |