Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Stastny wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Bennett 47.3% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 61.1%
Defensive zone
Bennett 58.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 59.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Stastny
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Stastny
Bennett
Last 10: Stastny 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
2
Stastny
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
5
Stastny
Bennett
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
48.2% (766)
+9.3%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
45.1% (82)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
33.9% (56)
+10.5%
On power play, Stastny has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Stastny shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Stastny
Bennett
Home
58.3% (276)
49.1% (458)
Away
56.7% (210)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Stastny
Bennett
P1
63.7%
47.9%
P2
57.3%
47.2%
P3
50.4%
46.4%
Final 5 min
56.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 11:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |