Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Bennett 47.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 13-13 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 55.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 57.0%
Neutral zone
Bennett 53.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Stastny
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
13
(26 meetings)
13
13
Stastny
Bennett
Last 10: Stastny 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
6
Stastny
Bennett
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
2
Stastny
Bennett
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
5
Stastny
Bennett
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
46.8% (5,683)
+7.8%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
53.7% (555)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
41.8% (256)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Stastny
Bennett
Home
55.9% (7,073)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Stastny
Bennett
P1
56.3%
48.0%
P2
55.4%
46.5%
P3
53.5%
46.9%
OT
62.9%
52.5%
Final 5 min
55.7%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 11:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 13, 2017 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |