Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (+7.2%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 61.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 73.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Stastny
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
48.9% (352)
+10.3%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
81.3% (16)
-40.4%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
42.2% (45)
+9.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Stastny shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Stastny
Carrick
Home
57.7% (215)
46.9% (192)
Away
55.6% (257)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Stastny
Carrick
P1
57.7%
48.1%
P2
54.2%
50.0%
P3
57.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%