Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 57.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 66.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 71.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Stastny
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stastny
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
48.0% (275)
+11.2%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
48.1% (52)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
53.1% (32)
-1.4%
On even strength, Stastny has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Stastny shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Stastny
Reinhart
Home
57.7% (215)
49.8% (201)
Away
55.6% (257)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Stastny
Reinhart
P1
57.7%
54.8%
P2
54.2%
40.5%
P3
57.7%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |