Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 60.0%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 63.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 66.5%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Stastny
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stastny
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Stastny
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
49.4% (259)
+8.1%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
54.4% (136)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
47.9% (71)
-3.5%
On even strength, Stastny has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Stastny shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Stastny
Reinhart
Home
58.3% (276)
54.9% (235)
Away
56.7% (210)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Stastny
Reinhart
P1
63.7%
52.3%
P2
57.3%
50.0%
P3
50.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |