Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Laughton 50.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.4%
Defensive zone
Laughton 66.2%
Neutral zone
Laughton 54.1%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Stastny
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Stastny
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
Stastny
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
53.1% (636)
+6.1%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
63.6% (44)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
30.9% (94)
+20.8%
On power play, Laughton has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Stastny shoots left. Laughton is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Stastny
Laughton
Home
57.7% (215)
53.7% (454)
Away
55.6% (257)
47.2% (320)
By Period
Stastny
Laughton
P1
57.7%
48.4%
P2
54.2%
51.5%
P3
57.7%
53.4%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Laughton
50.0%▼
53.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |