Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stastny wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Laughton 47.5% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 77.9%
Defensive zone
Laughton 75.0%
Neutral zone
Laughton 59.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Stastny
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Stastny
Laughton
Last 10: Stastny 4-6 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
2
Stastny
Laughton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
Stastny
Laughton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
Stastny
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
47.4% (719)
+10.1%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
50.4% (129)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
45.0% (229)
-0.6%
On even strength, Stastny has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Stastny shoots left. Laughton is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Home / Away
Stastny
Laughton
Home
58.3% (276)
50.2% (520)
Away
56.7% (210)
44.5% (557)
By Period
Stastny
Laughton
P1
63.7%
44.2%
P2
57.3%
49.1%
P3
50.4%
48.4%
Final 5 min
56.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |