Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.2% vs Couturier 56.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 50.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 55.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Stastny
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stastny
Couturier
Last 7: Stastny 2-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Stastny
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Stastny
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (657)
55.6% (1,008)
-2.8%
Power Play
61.0% (118)
71.7% (138)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (72)
54.2% (177)
+6.9%
On power play, Couturier has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Stastny shoots left. Couturier is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Stastny
Couturier
Home
53.0% (464)
59.8% (696)
Away
56.7% (383)
54.1% (627)
By Period
Stastny
Couturier
P1
47.9%
54.3%
P2
59.6%
59.8%
P3
54.9%
56.6%
OT
55.6%
64.3%
Final 5 min
57.7%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |