Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 28 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Couturier 52.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 35-30 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 70.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 56.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Stastny
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
35
(65 meetings)
30
35
Stastny
Couturier
Last 10: Stastny 6-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
11
10
Stastny
Couturier
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
11
17
Stastny
Couturier
28 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Stastny
Couturier
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
52.5% (11,063)
+2.1%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
59.7% (1,280)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
48.5% (1,816)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Stastny
Couturier
Home
55.9% (7,073)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Stastny
Couturier
P1
56.3%
52.5%
P2
55.4%
52.6%
P3
53.5%
52.9%
OT
62.9%
49.4%
Final 5 min
55.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 11:03 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |