Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Couturier 54.5% (+1.0%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 59.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 61.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 50.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Stastny
Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
57.4% (303)
+1.8%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
65.5% (55)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
40.0% (70)
+11.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Stastny shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Stastny
Couturier
Home
57.7% (215)
54.3% (219)
Away
55.6% (257)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Stastny
Couturier
P1
57.7%
53.2%
P2
54.2%
54.8%
P3
57.7%
57.9%
OT
60.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%