Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.4% vs Couturier 58.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 62.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 78.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 74.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Stastny
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Stastny
Couturier
Last 6: Stastny 5-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
1
Stastny
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (859)
60.1% (669)
-6.5%
Power Play
59.9% (202)
60.9% (133)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (78)
55.1% (107)
+0.0%
On even strength, Couturier has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Stastny shoots left. Couturier is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Stastny
Couturier
Home
56.9% (596)
59.9% (484)
Away
52.5% (543)
59.3% (425)
By Period
Stastny
Couturier
P1
53.9%
61.8%
P2
56.2%
57.4%
P3
54.4%
59.5%
OT
53.8%
68.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |