Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 53 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Monahan 51.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 80-56 in 136 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 50.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 72.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 62.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Stastny
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
80
-
56
(136 meetings)
80
56
Stastny
Monahan
Last 10: Stastny 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
34
19
Stastny
Monahan
53 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
23
19
Stastny
Monahan
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
23
18
Stastny
Monahan
41 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
51.1% (11,197)
+3.5%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
53.6% (2,558)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
46.0% (733)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,187).
Home / Away
Stastny
Monahan
Home
55.9% (7,073)
52.3% (7,234)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
50.2% (7,254)
By Period
Stastny
Monahan
P1
56.3%
51.0%
P2
55.4%
51.6%
P3
53.5%
51.1%
OT
62.9%
53.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2021 | OT | 03:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |