Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Monahan 53.9% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 58.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 50.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 59.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Stastny
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
54.5% (231)
+3.0%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
58.2% (67)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
52.2% (23)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Stastny shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Stastny
Monahan
Home
58.3% (276)
53.5% (144)
Away
56.7% (210)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Stastny
Monahan
P1
63.7%
52.5%
P2
57.3%
50.9%
P3
50.4%
60.8%
Final 5 min
56.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%