Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Monahan 52.8% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 51.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 50.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Stastny
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
51.5% (641)
+7.7%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
62.8% (129)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
33.3% (9)
+18.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Stastny shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Stastny
Monahan
Home
57.7% (215)
53.9% (362)
Away
55.6% (257)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Stastny
Monahan
P1
57.7%
48.0%
P2
54.2%
57.0%
P3
57.7%
54.1%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%