Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.6% vs Monahan 51.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 20-5 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 61.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 88.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 76.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Stastny
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
5
(25 meetings)
20
5
Stastny
Monahan
Last 10: Stastny 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
11
2
Stastny
Monahan
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
6
0
Stastny
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Stastny
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (967)
52.1% (1,301)
+4.4%
Power Play
58.4% (125)
50.3% (342)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (128)
38.5% (96)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Stastny is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Stastny shoots left. Monahan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,110).
Home / Away
Stastny
Monahan
Home
56.8% (590)
52.7% (875)
Away
55.4% (630)
49.3% (864)
By Period
Stastny
Monahan
P1
59.7%
51.0%
P2
54.8%
51.8%
P3
53.8%
50.9%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |